Two Bright Spots in Giant Interactive Group's 4Q10 Results
Xiaofan Zhang submits: Chinese online game company Giant Interactive Group ( GA ) recently reported strong 4Q10 results. In my view, there are two bright spots in the earnings report: Active Paying Accounts (APA) and Dividend. Steady APA expansion has driven healthy revenue growth. As shown in the chart below, Giant's revenue has been growing squentially for four consecutive quarters. The primary driver of the revenue growth is APA, which have risen sequentially for five consecutive quarters. In my opinion, such APA-driven growth is healthier than ARPU-driven growth because Chinese online games' ARPU has already peaked and is lacking further upside momentum. In contrast, the industry's APA base still has plenty of upside because non-paying players still accounted for 43% of the total user base in 2010, according to latest data released by the General Administration of Press and Publication. At the macro level, I believe Giant is on the right track because its current C...